TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe968…de6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$127.97
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.15
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.23
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$110.15
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$188.57
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45%+$352.62
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.02
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.71
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.67
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37.6%+$19.93
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$700.71
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$158
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$74.11
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.97
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.66
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$800.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$72.12
Will Bristol City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$128.04
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.8%+$193.05
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.65
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.3
Will Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$4.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$400.99
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$65.92
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$20.6
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,058.69
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$808.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.08
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$73.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$84.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.