TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c42,826$32,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,209.542,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c39,882$8,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,109.112,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c18,668$8,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,857.54,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c10,591$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.9326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No7c10,423$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.045232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c8,190$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,305.961,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…491fbacked No78c7,900$6,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No78c7,702$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.975658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No77c7,319$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.832286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c5,426$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.919856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes30c5,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,49019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes22c4,773$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.735324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.837732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341c…59c9backed Yes23c4,317$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes29c3,999$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.296048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,879$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.596,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No21c3,564$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.3142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No77c2,922$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes22c2,672$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.5718123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes22c2,623$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.2715344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes41c2,463$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.8817634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c2,351$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes22c1,983$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.9211346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes24c1,700$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.998062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c1,686$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.742,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c1,629$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.6513939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes13c1,591$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.8217234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No7c1,545$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1556829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No58c1,478$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes22c1,436$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.366437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c1,393$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.3919732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a4…0697backed Yes30c1,275$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+236.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No56c1,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1312020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes30c1,157$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.679246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes31c1,148$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.395246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No78c1,087$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.841457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes29c1,029$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No78c1,027$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.811266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes22c999.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9720040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes26c993.55$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.555226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No76c988.45$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.614975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Yes31c930$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c909.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes27c905.9$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.92737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes23c872$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.4410246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes23c870$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.93531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5724630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes22c829.32$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4412324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes23c802.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5820246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c793.42$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes31c659.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.823231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes22c653$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No77c630.45$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4510838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c623.77$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.39358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0610850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4144841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No8c600$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes20c517.65$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.655837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+94.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3852846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes23c495.65$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6510626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No46c494.03$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes18c472.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.226144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848e…d966backed Yes39c459.29$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes22c454.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.547851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Yes13c452.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes29c441.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes23c435$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.951631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c419.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes22c408$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.244252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ab…9924backed Yes30c392.49$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…a4cdbacked Yes25c388$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c377.93$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3e…7d35backed Yes77c370.62$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes20c360$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.821143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.149244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c353$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.341,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec8…2466backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes25c342.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.811,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes23c330.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.174533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c321.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7423632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes31c320$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.84748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes31c319.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.210940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7d…6e47backed Yes22c305.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes19c302.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.423141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked No78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d4…e673backed Yes27c300$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+149.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c300$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c299.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No78c293.76$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.132166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes19c286.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.965928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes26c278.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.463240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes29c278.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.758342.2%35 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes23c271.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.373630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.