Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6cea5ea25e20359757ea90f4a2f559aacafe12bc07f0e64daf7f27a1326071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,359,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,340,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,359,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,850 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 43c | 360,371$154,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,945.48 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 54c | 138,104$74,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,294.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 121,284$69,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,598.02 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 108,783$49,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,852.03 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 92,652$46,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,996.1 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes | 58c | 87,000$50,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,460 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 81,994$35,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,438.41 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 79,758$34,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,220.07 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 79,205$44,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,973.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 68,431$29,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,332.04 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 46c | 60,518$28,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,006.42 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.9 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 43c | 40,196$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,861.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 29,705$12,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,931.65 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 43c | 29,097$12,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,585.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 23,331$14,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.14 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 44c | 23,131$10,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,953.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…d5dbbacked No | 43c | 23,000$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,209.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 57c | 22,493$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,821 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 42c | 21,499$9,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 43c | 21,000$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,009.86 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 45c | 19,673$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,906.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 17,914$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,047.08 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 42c | 17,300$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.45 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 17,120$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.37 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 42c | 17,099$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,841.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 42c | 16,269$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,408.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 44c | 16,159$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 55c | 16,000$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 43c | 15,668$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,917.09 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 15,448$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,856.53 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 57c | 15,111$8,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,613.27 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 43c | 14,999$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.69 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 56c | 14,760$8,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,265.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 44c | 14,147$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,924.51 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 44c | 13,018$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 80c | 13,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 55c | 11,797$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 43c | 11,563$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.37 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 42c | 10,001$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.8 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…2305backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 58c | 9,711$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.91 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 57c | 8,768$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Yes | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 44c | 8,288$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 44c | 8,275$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.32 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 57c | 7,798$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.84 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 43c | 7,500$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 7,109$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 56c | 7,014$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.86 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.96 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 42c | 6,700$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.8 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 43c | 6,642$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.46 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 44c | 6,638$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 49c | 6,628$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.36 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 0c | 6,219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed No | 42c | 6,200$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Yes | 57c | 6,026$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9943backed Yes | 20c | 5,984$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 44c | 5,850$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 5,416$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.51 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 43c | 5,400$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.91 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 44c | 5,330$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…64d0backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…3eeebacked Yes | 59c | 5,119$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 5,075$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.94 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 4,963$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 43c | 4,956$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…3958backed Yes | 10c | 4,930$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 53c | 4,867$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 43c | 4,485$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.59 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 30c | 4,468$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 43c | 4,366$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.31 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 47c | 4,311$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…7573backed Yes | 22c | 4,148$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 58c | 4,107$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 4,069$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.06 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 2c | 4,047$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 43c | 4,045$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.9 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.93 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 42c | 3,941$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.7 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 3,763$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.79 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes | 57c | 3,731$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 38c | 3,706$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Yes | 54c | 3,706$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.