TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5bb…9943

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.88
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$186.61
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$190.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500.06
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$46.06
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+614.3%+$1,013.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$141.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,168.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$53.13
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$53.13
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.81
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.46
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+376.2%+$188.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.