TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,600,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,769,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,600,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed No63c1,464,512$918,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918,118.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c284,729$115,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,614.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Yes39c240,150$92,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,462.641662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c197,849$83,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,610.6390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes37c197,378$72,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,206.399154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c106,929$40,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,229.412,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No61c91,065$55,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,549.576357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c79,498$30,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,506.21,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes38c76,000$28,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,46524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No62c70,000$43,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,399.9135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c59,914$23,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,720.7450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c54,593$21,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,360.0320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes39c51,442$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,442.172634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No61c30,041$18,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,320.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes39c27,256$10,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,725.129640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes38c26,492$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,493.034548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes39c25,332$9,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,470.775939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c23,327$14,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,299.11,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No61c22,697$13,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,915.049748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No60c21,088$12,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,652.82445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Yes37c20,000$7,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,533.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c19,181$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,181.2550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes38c19,029$7,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,797.833946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes37c17,334$6,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,862.143540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No61c15,479$9,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,442.197455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4503946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes37c15,000$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,46013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No60c13,725$8,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,258.885831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No61c12,980$7,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,976.7310539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes40c12,355$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.451250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes37c11,284$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,109.153748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes39c10,384$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,356.4926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes37c10,094$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3602850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No60c9,208$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,524.513941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes38c9,140$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes38c8,203$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.7932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes38c8,181$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes37c8,027$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.028334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0409625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes38c6,973$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.3712944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes39c6,964$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No61c6,773$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c6,622$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.9569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No62c6,497$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.9216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No61c6,388$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes39c6,250$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.515044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c6,102$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.841,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes39c5,150$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No61c5,120$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No60c4,959$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.46243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8076…aecabacked No26c4,828$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c4,304$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.13,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes38c3,962$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.985742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9913845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes37c2,642$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.2930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes38c2,152$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.4210437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes39c2,100$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2814742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes37c2,028$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes39c2,010$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.1711444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No61c2,008$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.113145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes39c1,947$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6920148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked No27c1,853$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes37c1,850$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.422343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cf…a5c9backed No1c1,765$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c1,750$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes63c1,746$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.032536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.0964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c1,684$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c1,567$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.8583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes40c1,375$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c1,341$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.9440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.052450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed No61c1,210$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes39c1,180$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes37c1,097$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.414548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No60c1,096$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.54938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes37c999.84$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes38c992.11$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.114934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No62c983.03$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Yes38c951.03$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No31c900.46$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7511331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No14c879.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed No61c875.92$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No13c873.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.552040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.