TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a1…75ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$15.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$14.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$32.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$40.5
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.14
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$70.2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+170.9%+$170.9
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$136.5
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.82
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.6
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+76.5%+$75.43
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100.51
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$504
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$997.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.9%+$43.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$43.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$72.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$102.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$93.6
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+41.8%+$81.93
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.2%+$43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.01
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.21
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$53.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,478.52
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$259.38
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$782.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$366.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$107.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.7
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+368.8%+$236
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$322.1
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.2%+$248.66
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$133.3
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$176.19
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$149.07
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$352.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$139.77
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+260.4%+$963.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$56.4
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$57.6
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.31
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.1
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$105.3
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$578.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$395.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$203.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+234.8%+$469.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.8%+$235.61
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.8%+$614.02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$115.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+262.4%+$144.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.12
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.4
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$90.54
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$132.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+157.9%+$157.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29%+$159.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.