Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50407e78d778776a8397d8c259cfea3ca203a10917662644f6a1473f9d63adf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $890,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 71,200$30,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,559.48 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 59c | 53,713$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,913.46 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 38,818$13,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,308.95 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 23c | 34,257$7,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,876.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Heroic | 57c | 33,969$19,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,708.76 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Heroic | 72c | 27,791$20,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,646.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Heroic | 59c | 26,703$15,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,829.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Vici Gaming | 6c | 24,492$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.08 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 20,619$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,247.59 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 18,750$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Heroic | 60c | 11,500$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 11,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Heroic | 76c | 10,173$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.89 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 8,927$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.73 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 8,377$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.48 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 7,700$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.19 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 65c | 7,682$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.48 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 7,670$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.53 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 7,572$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.6 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 7,005$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.93 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a8…9579backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 6,552$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 71c | 6,295$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.8 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Heroic | 60c | 6,256$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.17 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 6,129$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 5,800$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Heroic | 61c | 5,397$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vici Gaming | 2c | 5,064$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heroic | 61c | 4,952$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.23 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…684ebacked Heroic | 60c | 4,895$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Heroic | 65c | 4,745$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.71 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 4,464$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 4,353$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.2 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Heroic | 60c | 4,234$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Heroic | 72c | 4,184$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 3,993$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.06 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Heroic | 74c | 3,937$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.23 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 3,670$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.07 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 3,651$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Heroic | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 3,476$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.54 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Heroic | 70c | 3,395$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Heroic | 73c | 3,371$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.54 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic | 70c | 3,205$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.41 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Heroic | 67c | 3,145$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.12 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 3,131$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Heroic | 67c | 2,754$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.41 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,579$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…0907backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,500$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…9fe2backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 2,500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…f56abacked Vici Gaming | 4c | 2,393$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 65c | 2,343$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.31 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,224$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.61 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8894…085cbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,221$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic | 60c | 2,221$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.06 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,195$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Vici Gaming | 23c | 2,171$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…891ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 2,147$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,124$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 2,074$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 68c | 2,052$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.6 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…3412backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 2,034$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…296abacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,018$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Vici Gaming | 16c | 2,006$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Heroic | 77c | 2,000$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed Heroic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 2,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…9279backed Heroic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…184dbacked Heroic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 1,884$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,789$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…5b81backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,720$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,719$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,685$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Heroic | 58c | 1,647$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.11 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 1,597$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Heroic | 57c | 1,544$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.89 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,543$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 1,526$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,509$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.52 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Heroic | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,467$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.33 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic | 60c | 1,445$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 1,428$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…89a9backed Vici Gaming | 3c | 1,412$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 62c | 1,408$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.75 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Heroic | 73c | 1,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.33 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Heroic | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,326$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f420backed Heroic | 65c | 1,316$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 1,272$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 1,260$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 1,231$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.53 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,200$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.86 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 1,200$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.