Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b8d3131e36467162fe1ebb6bacf2378dc76c9041fa94a8f9faeb15fcbae685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Heroic, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 86,464$37,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,034.41 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 56c | 49,957$27,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,975.76 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Heroic | 57c | 35,546$20,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,261.39 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 57c | 22,758$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 13,313$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,456.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Heroic | 59c | 8,682$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Heroic | 41c | 7,836$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.55 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 7,232$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 6,682$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.35 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.97 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 5,886$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.24 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 5,746$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.82 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 5,408$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.54 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 4,606$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.5 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Heroic | 60c | 4,600$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.57 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 4,371$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 3,936$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.97 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 3,564$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.1 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 3,387$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.79 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Heroic | 68c | 2,952$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 2,837$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 2,573$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.04 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 58c | 2,440$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.01 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,425$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,364$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.52 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 2,348$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.65 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Heroic | 75c | 2,200$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic | 63c | 2,000$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.89 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,882$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.2 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,758$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.73 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,718$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.04 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,706$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,608$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.42 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Vici Gaming | 19c | 1,501$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.11 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Heroic | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,453$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.48 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,447$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.58 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 1,358$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.89 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Heroic | 57c | 1,200$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.98 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Heroic | 60c | 1,169$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Heroic | 53c | 1,136$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Heroic | 58c | 1,036$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,014$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,002$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Heroic | 58c | 970.83$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.31 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Heroic | 59c | 939.69$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…9fe2backed Vici Gaming | 8c | 920.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 919.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Heroic | 58c | 900.18$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 894.12$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Heroic | 60c | 839.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 50c | 753.47$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 50c | 743.28$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 741.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Heroic | 54c | 738.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 712.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.73 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a8…9579backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Heroic | 69c | 689.35$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.05 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 56c | 688.93$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Heroic | 57c | 678.89$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 675.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.68 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 57c | 668$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.4 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 648.43$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 648$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 626.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 618.35$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Heroic | 60c | 609.52$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.71 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 600.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 598.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 575$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 565.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.11 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 560$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Heroic | 57c | 560$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 558.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Heroic | 54c | 553.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 551.93$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Heroic | 60c | 531.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 53c | 530.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 527.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Heroic | 48c | 521.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Heroic | 72c | 501.4$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 495.23$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 479.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 477.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.59 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 475.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 458.4$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Heroic | 56c | 455.76$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed Heroic | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.