Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165b284dbfc6c81bfeb4ffe255cc077641396a22d05dfd27757aa3cd76492c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Heroic | 62c | 30,969$19,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,802.41 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 58c | 17,299$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.22 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 12,137$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 10,668$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.87 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 8,008$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 6,644$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.94 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 5,802$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.55 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 5,130$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.92 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 4,337$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Heroic | 67c | 4,025$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 3,942$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 3,856$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.02 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 3,734$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 3,728$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Heroic | 62c | 3,524$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 63c | 3,338$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.65 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 3,259$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.69 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 2,416$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Heroic | 60c | 2,156$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,139$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.76 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Heroic | 60c | 1,665$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.86 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Heroic | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Heroic | 60c | 1,492$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.86 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 56c | 1,223$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.21 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,150$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.62 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Vici Gaming | 13c | 1,047$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,000$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a8…9579backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 74c | 969.98$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 927.06$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 67c | 916.15$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 847.43$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Vici Gaming | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 789$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 770.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Heroic | 66c | 753.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 76c | 666.98$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 666.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 650$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 598.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Vici Gaming | 5c | 592.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Heroic | 56c | 577.45$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 576.12$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 60c | 553.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 551.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Heroic | 78c | 530.65$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 4c | 516.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed Heroic | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 489.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 488.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 456.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 450.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 425.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 413.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 393.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 367$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 363.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Heroic | 58c | 360.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 350.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 336.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Heroic | 60c | 333.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Heroic | 59c | 319.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 316.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 315.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Heroic | 56c | 308.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…fe82backed Vici Gaming | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 260.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 260$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Heroic | 60c | 258.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Vici Gaming | 7c | 256.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 251.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…d41abacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Heroic | 61c | 245.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Heroic | 59c | 221.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed Heroic | 63c | 221.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 217.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +295.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Heroic | 57c | 216.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Heroic | 57c | 209.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Heroic | 56c | 205.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…b769backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 201.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Vici Gaming | 8c | 201.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Heroic | 59c | 200.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.