TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f03…ed48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.72
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$51.12
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$143.67
1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.77
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144.27
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$60.01
Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.47
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.52
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.81
Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$57.25
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$56.56
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.69
Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47.87
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$104.98
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$47.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$29.59
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-12.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.56
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.47
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.15
New Orleans Privateers vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.84
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$43.38
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-3.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.47
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-11.5)backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$70.55
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-2.5)backed New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$54.22
Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$25.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.57
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Dbacked Oasis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$94.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.