TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,640 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under47c9,675$4,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,547.155030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c3,941$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c3,296$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,447$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ece…7eeabacked Over49c2,366$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3678…5a02backed Under51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e4…74cbbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,984$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.161,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55f8…b2d9backed Under51c1,955$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7071…b006backed Over49c1,825$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5270…f334backed Under51c1,763$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7d…c858backed Over49c1,756$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf78b…8142backed Over49c1,688$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3635…83c8backed Over49c1,635$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c1,555$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c1,520$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c1,503$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.8121653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…7340backed Under51c1,423$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,111$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c999.42$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.753951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c980.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c943$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over75c886.63$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c844.95$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c778.59$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c760.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c679.51$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c626.05$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Under47c609.55$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.491947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over48c522$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.420536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c495.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9711242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb605…86e5backed Over49c422$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c414.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under48c359.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5720350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c358$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d87…b442backed Under51c351$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c339.22$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under25c336.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.411,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c302.47$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over50c297.35$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c276.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c253.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under37c241.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under20c236.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3910028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Over53c220.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.471662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Over53c207.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c196$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.842,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under26c192.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over52c191.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8609…4897backed Over53c181.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c171.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Over75c164$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419168.1%62 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over54c163.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over65c158.09$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under25c146.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over75c136.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…8362backed Over73c134.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c132$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c106.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.932,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over51c98.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.414630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under48c81.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c77.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over72c68.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over67c67.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.391,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over50c66.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.047843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under33c59.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over55c54.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6645653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over67c53.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.675558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c49.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c48.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under49c45.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0815544.5%69 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c41.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.631,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…d9b6backed Over77c38.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.972147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34dd…dbf8backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c37.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…9e0bbacked Under52c35.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over52c35.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8811946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under50c35.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7412739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over51c31.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4329247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over55c31.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8645445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Over61c24.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8116852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Over78c21.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.716552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.