NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc06ab59cf95140da8e44dec3feda2a4d1df1a5016edd86eac76f6c578e34445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Grizzlies, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,966,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,966,466 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 500,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Grizzlies | 10c | 145,243$13,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,932.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 49,090$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.47 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 9c | 45,369$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.52 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 10c | 38,009$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 33,739$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.14 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 33,368$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 25,556$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 8c | 22,223$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 8c | 19,846$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.19 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 10c | 18,573$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.69 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Grizzlies | 9c | 14,405$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Grizzlies | 10c | 13,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Grizzlies | 9c | 12,222$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…5106backed Grizzlies | 9c | 12,061$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 10,850$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 10,780$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…1ef0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 10,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 16c | 9,948$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.73 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 10c | 9,564$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.27 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Grizzlies | 8c | 7,697$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.77 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 7,550$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 9c | 7,439$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 7,113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies | 10c | 6,310$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.26 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 6,300$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 6,157$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 10c | 5,413$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 4,799$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.95 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…b2cabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 4,560$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 10c | 4,444$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 9c | 4,167$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 4,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,000$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.45 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,625$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 3,429$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 3,031$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…9fd4backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,001$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 2,855$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,850$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Grizzlies | 20c | 2,750$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.42 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…c48fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,724$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,387$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.87 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,111$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…9ac4backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,033$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,022$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba5…51f5backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,613$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.37 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,334$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,271$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…0b40backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,270$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 1,264$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,214$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,210$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,176$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,098$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,028$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Pistons | 79c | 1,015$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 981$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 15c | 956.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies | 11c | 925.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 879.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Grizzlies | 9c | 879.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Grizzlies | 9c | 843$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 6c | 810.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 795.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…9ef3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 766$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…5a32backed Grizzlies | 9c | 760$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 738.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…c5bfbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 720$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Grizzlies | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Grizzlies | 11c | 699.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 9c | 688.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Grizzlies | 9c | 680.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…8c3ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 666.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 634.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Grizzlies | 9c | 627.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Grizzlies | 9c | 626$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Grizzlies | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Grizzlies | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Grizzlies | 10c | 620$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Grizzlies | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Pistons | 76c | 593.66$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c918backed Grizzlies | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 551.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed Grizzlies | 13c | 515$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Grizzlies | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 333 | 44.1%147 W · 186 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 243.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 244.5Under won
- Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Grizzlies won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.