NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d9b7702a4c94dfe2a8b2963dc558863bb3f3c1f08551a12f71504c225d4a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Pistons, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,214,629 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 541,885$270,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,942.4 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 344,775$172,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,527.44 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 50c | 200,483$101,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,233.29 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 51c | 93,295$47,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,168.22 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 53,804$27,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,250.06 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.98 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 34,977$17,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,488.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 31,369$15,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,998.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 50c | 28,683$14,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,273.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Pistons | 46c | 22,491$10,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,345.83 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 21,404$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,522.34 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 20,488$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,774.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Grizzlies | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 19,024$9,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,322 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 18,586$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.64 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 17,839$8,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 13,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons | 48c | 8,291$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.68 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 50c | 7,841$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Pistons | 48c | 6,520$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.36 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 6,290$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons | 47c | 5,286$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.51 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 50c | 5,159$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons | 50c | 4,050$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…14e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,792$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,712$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.24 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,333$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.4 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,310$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.42 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,271$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 48c | 2,961$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,264$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.82 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Pistons | 50c | 2,182$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.05 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 49c | 2,176$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 44c | 2,068$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.18 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.9 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,988$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.35 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,785$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.56 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,395$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,328$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.05 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 46c | 1,286$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Pistons | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.84 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.77 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,187$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 48c | 1,177$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,143$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.26 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,093$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.91 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,075$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.51 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,065$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.96 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,039$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,031$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 50c | 1,030$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 51c | 966.62$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Pistons | 50c | 955$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pistons | 50c | 925.2$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.97 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 48c | 918.81$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies | 49c | 872.55$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pistons | 21c | 850.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Pistons | 51c | 770.63$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.84 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Pistons | 50c | 713.2$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Pistons | 50c | 702.67$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 588.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Grizzlies | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…5106backed Pistons | 51c | 576$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Grizzlies | 51c | 575.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 53c | 570.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 563.38$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 561.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Grizzlies | 51c | 552.51$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 538.79$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Grizzlies | 49c | 530$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Grizzlies | 51c | 529.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.82 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 520.44$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Pistons | 49c | 514.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Pistons | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Pistons | 50c | 498.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Pistons | 50c | 490.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 54c | 479.58$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 470.82$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pistons | 51c | 464.36$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. PistonsPistons won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 243.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 244.5Under won
- Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Grizzlies won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.