TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,920 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Over54c54,700$29,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,1623366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ab8…4812backed Over54c36,497$19,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,788.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e13…cb2fbacked Over54c27,174$14,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,500.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed9e…89f4backed Over54c22,256$12,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,237.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1eb…e8c5backed Over54c15,074$8,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,934.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7d…97d3backed Under46c7,241$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa28…b19bbacked Under46c6,695$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6506…b4c1backed Under46c6,436$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e5…fa2abacked Over54c6,030$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb0…8991backed Over54c6,002$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e57…97c0backed Over54c5,783$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea3…344fbacked Under46c5,419$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05c…db82backed Under46c5,417$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…593ebacked Under46c5,369$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa570…21e5backed Under46c5,279$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fa…d4bebacked Under46c5,242$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3d…d9ebbacked Under46c5,207$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c7…e985backed Under46c5,198$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86bc…9b28backed Under46c5,182$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd23…a3e4backed Under46c5,176$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…9440backed Under46c5,098$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c50…670bbacked Under46c5,065$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2d…4214backed Under46c5,022$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b01…ade6backed Under46c4,998$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae9…1036backed Under46c4,963$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c4,902$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…54bdbacked Under46c4,824$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9c…9be4backed Under46c4,759$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a7…ea73backed Under46c4,726$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0930…5c5bbacked Under46c4,650$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018d…aa1cbacked Under46c4,602$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…0168backed Under46c4,542$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…b76bbacked Over54c4,489$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.941060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6c…4856backed Over54c4,429$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9e…c82bbacked Over54c4,190$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4e…2848backed Under46c4,085$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5427…7949backed Over54c4,050$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64c…7912backed Over54c3,939$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…956dbacked Under46c3,730$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf599…db0bbacked Under46c3,322$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8d…5a31backed Under46c3,235$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a8…3428backed Under46c3,230$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…25b1backed Under46c3,194$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e9…d1dcbacked Under46c3,131$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab4…a983backed Under46c3,100$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9388…f83dbacked Under46c3,089$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004a…a037backed Over54c2,930$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf23a…d316backed Under46c2,915$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd5…d919backed Under46c2,904$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x470f…80f2backed Under46c2,842$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…1ef5backed Under46c2,811$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb401…7d97backed Under46c2,795$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72e…c894backed Under46c2,729$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…a068backed Under46c2,648$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…4110backed Under46c2,557$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…eae0backed Under46c2,529$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e6…43afbacked Under46c2,479$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465a…59bfbacked Under46c2,459$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ed…cb14backed Under46c2,441$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6f…d897backed Under46c2,420$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c56…3428backed Under46c2,361$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e58…9c66backed Under46c2,311$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7275…126dbacked Under46c2,298$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfbb…0dadbacked Under46c2,276$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc5…aa93backed Over54c2,148$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d91…ff46backed Over54c2,100$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9661050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f66…580fbacked Over54c2,071$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf996…54d5backed Under46c1,952$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…0dc9backed Under46c1,754$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Under46c899$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.542250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Over54c889.37$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.112334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over51c883.11$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c789.27$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c512.02$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17250239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a3…c3c6backed Over54c296$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c291.01$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under39c257.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.241,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over59c229.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c214$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.31,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4113345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over57c169$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.671,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebe…4a6abacked Under47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f2…eedabacked Over54c157$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…334dbacked Under47c141$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Under46c123$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.582055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over57c119.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c117.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.662,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c116.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under44c113.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c113.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45aa…ffbdbacked Under46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.