NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b29ca1803bdb7ec861a3eea1c18954417e9948d49ecbd089570167adbe4e0da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 38,335$17,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,634.12 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 52c | 15,639$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,442.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,750$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 53c | 4,687$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons | 52c | 4,587$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.76 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 45c | 3,608$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,382$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,123$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,947$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Pistons | 51c | 2,927$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.53 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,823$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 54c | 2,777$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.42 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…0ec8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,401$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…7190backed Pistons | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,133$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.85 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Pistons | 54c | 2,089$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.28 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…4986backed Pistons | 51c | 2,053$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…08e7backed Pistons | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…b55bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,877$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…0e5dbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,866$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pistons | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Pistons | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…eb33backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,711$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…a0cdbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,689$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…24b5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,688$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6501backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,677$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…b54cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…d1b4backed Pistons | 51c | 1,554$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…8505backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,488$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…719cbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…83a4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,469$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…8aa2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,458$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493d…bee0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,456$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…b0e6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…1085backed Pistons | 51c | 1,406$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1012…e57cbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…8c41backed Pistons | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,306$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…7dbdbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,278$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 51c | 1,222$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.75 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,221$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.64 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 985.24$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 956.25$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 52c | 815.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.55 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Pistons | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 707.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…4e34backed Grizzlies | 49c | 660$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…ccbbbacked Pistons | 51c | 651$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 638.01$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 50c | 491.34$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Pistons | 54c | 441.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Grizzlies | 49c | 412.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 370.71$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Pistons | 55c | 329.45$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 312$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 304.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Pistons | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 261.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pistons | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Pistons | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pistons | 51c | 208.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 50c | 201.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…5109backed Grizzlies | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 52c | 183.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…d5a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Grizzlies | 57c | 175.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…9140backed Grizzlies | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Pistons | 54c | 165.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…b8a1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 156$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…d84bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Pistons | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 126.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 49c | 125.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 121.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Grizzlies | 46c | 113.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Pistons | 51c | 111.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 48c | 99.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 92.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…adbdbacked Pistons | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…a4f5backed Pistons | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Pistons | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Pistons | 53c | 75.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. PistonsPistons won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 243.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 244.5Under won
- Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Grizzlies won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.