TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe350…61f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.64
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.87
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.23
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.33
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$84
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.34
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$82
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$82.1
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$76
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$76.32
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.6
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.58
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.95
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.44
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$106.72
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.02
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65.28
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.8
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.48
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.18
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$49.88
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.83
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.14
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.59
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.8
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$65.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.84
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72.96
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$64.35
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.2
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.12
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.44
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$60.47
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.63
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$41
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.36
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$224.11
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.15
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.97
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.48
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$57.42
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$53.91
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.25
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$37.24
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$177.48
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.08
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$56.28
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.74
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.1
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$29.6
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$54.87
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+112.8%+$47.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.