TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,408 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c21,648$9,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,535.996,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over60c11,999$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.874158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over58c4,500$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.439055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over43c3,202$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over71c2,490$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.997268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over70c1,139$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.512373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c1,005$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.561,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under62c1,000$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.141,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over60c999.86$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.946953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under35c888$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under55c780.39$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8646943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over41c768.78$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2416238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c701.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over58c688$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under3c666.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over23c662.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Under14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84439.3%4 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under77c599.51$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under42c595.3$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.039272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over60c480$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7413842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over22c454.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5119356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.626344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under49c318.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9511450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over65c306.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.675455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under13c273.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5231747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under4c265.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over75c209.17$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1225049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.615160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over60c198.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.428375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3128654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under38c178.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under39c172.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.133740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4920864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9310550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over22c150.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.152878.6%22 W · 6 L+9.9wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6360557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under7c140.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.899946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over53c118.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over42c107.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.143135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4312047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Under37c96.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under39c94.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over22c90.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.972658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.620763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under52c89.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2416357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under54c86.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over57c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over65c61.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4120956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.217138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8516045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2129657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Under44c44.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f3…ebf6backed Over33c44.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over59c39.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0815553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c38.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2996445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Under46c35.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c35.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155250%26 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3312945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over47c32.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.164050%20 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over45c31.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under45c31.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0620758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b1c8backed Over58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.079245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323650%18 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Under47c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over56c22.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7351847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.