Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd724cd73c17b1d5223f966722c6924e51845a025c480fe2eae825ed9b35923aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Liverpool FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Liverpool FC | 22c | 4,462$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Liverpool FC | 18c | 1,170$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Liverpool FC | 19c | 635.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Liverpool FC | 21c | 429.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 16c | 364$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.58 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 27c | 329.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 324.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Liverpool FC | 22c | 290.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Liverpool FC | 78c | 272.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Liverpool FC | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liverpool FC | 7c | 196.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Liverpool FC | 7c | 176.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Liverpool FC | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 162.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 156.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 120.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 95.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool FC | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 21c | 63.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 45.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Liverpool FC | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Liverpool FC | 42c | 36.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 31.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.