Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82db1b85efc5979ae1aaef818c8aa620419380793817ebcbd99694523798a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 9,490$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.86 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 64c | 2,600$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.13 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 29c | 2,365$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.24 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 1,883$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.65 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 74c | 1,679$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.84 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 1,125$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 20c | 859.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 62c | 802.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 399.79$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 20c | 396.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 63c | 301.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 80c | 301$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 52c | 287.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 80c | 262.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 80c | 257.59$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 208.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 79c | 152.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Under | 34c | 116.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 77c | 101.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 69c | 90.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 50c | 49.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…87d5backed Over | 46c | 46.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 50c | 32.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 57c | 30.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 79c | 25.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…a5f5backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.