TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,694 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Under67c116,000$77,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,689.96857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over33c34,214$11,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,923.576550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over33c30,100$9,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,1673369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c15,322$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,344.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over28c9,461$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,806.7546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over32c5,312$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over33c4,567$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.722665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over33c3,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3459272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c3,448$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.0785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under68c2,888$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.8414166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over13c2,600$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.8682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over15c2,045$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.719373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over33c1,985$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0057268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over35c1,104$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8611450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over19c1,080$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.6827141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under67c999.55$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.723258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over33c800$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over33c756.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5922834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under80c625.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Over9c598.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.515233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over37c460.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.338048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over33c457.04$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Under67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Over34c360.91$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x214d…f5aabacked Over40c334.23$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over75c329.47$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5416238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Over15c304.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.82439.3%4 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7613842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Over34c281.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.786142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over16c266.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9610579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over34c249.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.991,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over34c249.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.991,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under65c249.92$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.459953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over33c180$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Over35c173.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.883716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under67c172.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.774551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over18c172.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over20c164.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.44319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over9c162.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.771850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b2…814bbacked Over33c160$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9919357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2135…9e8fbacked Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+136.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Over33c136.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1416731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over33c125$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under66c119.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6117327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Over33c109.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.135563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over57c106.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under67c103.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under67c96.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe759…5813backed Over33c95.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over33c90.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.474163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over33c90$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.332357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over34c85.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Over66c82.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under39c81.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over33c78.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7910540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over34c75.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0120758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Under67c75.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over33c75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.537356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over28c70.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.231747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.936758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under43c69.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over20c69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.961040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under77c61.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6116544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fb…66b2backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over34c52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3217138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under68c51.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.275349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.