TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe10c…e7e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.82
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.75
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$179.33
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$122.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.06
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$91.35
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$62.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$254.12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$250.61
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.9
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.38
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,949.44
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116.44
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,030.74
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,265.95
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123.19
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$141.6
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$141.6
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$208.67
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$135.99
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$237.93
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$115.5
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.76
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.53
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$247.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$253.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$305.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$75.06
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$153.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$120.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.4
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,942Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$1,177.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$55.8
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,504.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45.03
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$102.87
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$216
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$289.64
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.86
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$170.65
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$505.3
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$1,782.59
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$155.35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.49
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$45.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$24.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.9%+$39.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$113.34
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$52.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.52
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+57.8%+$115.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.