La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afd853cc97907bdb466f4341ef8583f58575e436e07235dbcc033cd8dcb303e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 9,319$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.42 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 4,485$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.31 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 60c | 3,203$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 3,201$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.23 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,168$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 69c | 1,860$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,786$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.57 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 56c | 1,689$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.53 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 25c | 1,471$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 1,447$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.1 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 77c | 1,229$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 47c | 1,021$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,007$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.28 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 27c | 925.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.53 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 25c | 751.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 25c | 720.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 68c | 662.32$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.38 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 43c | 600$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 544$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 75c | 492.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 379.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 350.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…3c45backed Over | 76c | 332.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over | 59c | 310.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Over | 35c | 293.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 27c | 261.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 258.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 236.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 65c | 230$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 219.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 58c | 205.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 22c | 191.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 180.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 74c | 175.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 75c | 129$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Under | 77c | 128.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…3235backed Under | 26c | 122$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…1946backed Under | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…8aebbacked Under | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Over | 74c | 115.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Under | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 74c | 106.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 98.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 93.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 26c | 91.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 44c | 86.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 58c | 86.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 67c | 78.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 20c | 77.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…9907backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 69.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 77c | 69.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…a1b3backed Over | 75c | 69.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 68.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 45c | 67.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 74c | 67.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…4fa8backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 41c | 64.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 62.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 73c | 59.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…7773backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…a7c1backed Under | 46c | 57.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 44c | 57.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…4684backed Over | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 74c | 51.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.