TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabb1…e0cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.7%+$64.8
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.82
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.61
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184.44
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.57
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.04
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.42
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+180.4%+$95.19
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105.26
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.45
Malik Monk: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.62
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.67
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.28
Brasilia: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$207.3
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$322.06
BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.59
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.82
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Florent Baxbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$132.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Princeton Tigers (W)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchenbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.