La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003c88805945e38bc646378ab27849ed585897a90d6edd9d3d30c42bea0c067b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 1,249$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 690.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 391.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 943 | 54.4%513 W · 430 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 69c | 384.2$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 322.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 313.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 1,458 | 45.1%658 W · 800 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 36c | 243.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 16c | 216$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 16c | 132.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 50%171 W · 171 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 106.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 90.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 50.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 518 | 51.9%269 W · 249 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 45.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 893 | 50.1%447 W · 446 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 42.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 653 | 52.7%344 W · 309 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Yes | 33c | 34.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,087 | 50.6%550 W · 537 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 858 | 50.3%432 W · 426 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.