TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8b9…7657

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.75
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$59.38
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$46.19
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.22
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41.04
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+135%+$18.1
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+73.8%+$8.74
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+141.5%+$34.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,005.7%+$163.72
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.2%+$8.21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.3%+$36.14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.5%+$8.56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$173.26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$275.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick27cpaid+132.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.37
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$31.52
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$59.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+340.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.6%+$9.01
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+45.2%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$64.23
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$84.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$33.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+314.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+314.2%+$2,561.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood say "Summit" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+114.3%+$80.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$37.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+30.3%+$30.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.