Earnings · resolved market
Will Robinhood say "Summit" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7335d810ba87e5d838db35d44bbe6e79e8a6624085cfaad533b82a0ae37c4bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,049,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,049,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1422…803fbacked No | 50c | 1,857$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…5cd2backed No | 50c | 1,578$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 50c | 1,523$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed No | 50c | 1,002$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…5570backed No | 50c | 875$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 550.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 71c | 187.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 17 | 100%17 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Yes | 47c | 151.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…44d3backed No | 59c | 137.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 24c | 113.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed No | 49c | 100.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9903…09b6backed Yes | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…274dbacked Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…af58backed No | 67c | 74.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…43edbacked Yes | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…f97abacked Yes | 48c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…06ebbacked Yes | 66c | 53.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…fe90backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 34c | 50.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…0f08backed Yes | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…8ae2backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked Yes | 59c | 42.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7a…e342backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…2fcdbacked Yes | 75c | 35.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…194cbacked No | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 34c | 33.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…1ddcbacked Yes | 40c | 30.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8223…5e1ebacked Yes | 38c | 30.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…4eedbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…5ad3backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…4fccbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…f440backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 53c | 29.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 45c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 79c | 27.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8754…c46abacked No | 45c | 27.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ab…d413backed Yes | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…6986backed No | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 55c | 22.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…7e33backed Yes | 52c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…25a3backed Yes | 65c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…24e0backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…339fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robinhood say "Summit" during earnings call?this page
- Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Gold" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Prediction" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?No won
- Will Robinhood say "Token" during earnings call?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.