Earnings · resolved market
Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e75e18b5a54ddaa0eaccc7698deb2c1d97de9cd7fd95876de4321f0f1b94060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab5c…43edbacked Yes | 38c | 1,430$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…5cd2backed No | 60c | 1,314$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…2643backed No | 62c | 901.95$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 891.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 65c | 753.61$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…5570backed No | 62c | 524.6$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 49c | 437.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…f97abacked No | 60c | 257.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…3ffcbacked Yes | 25c | 199.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…8ae2backed No | 62c | 179.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 58c | 171.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…0df7backed Yes | 36c | 152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Yes | 66c | 151.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 120.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 105.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…3699backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked No | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 38c | 76.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…b955backed Yes | 61c | 73.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 73.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9903…09b6backed No | 60c | 71.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 45c | 70.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…53fcbacked No | 55c | 69.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…06ebbacked No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…274dbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…1e15backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 76c | 56.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed No | 31c | 52.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…41bdbacked Yes | 43c | 46.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…ec7abacked Yes | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…f511backed Yes | 43c | 38.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 70c | 38.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…25a3backed No | 68c | 30.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 46c | 30.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed No | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…87a1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…a40dbacked No | 66c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…6487backed No | 77c | 28.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…0101backed Yes | 68c | 27.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…a999backed Yes | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…9d8fbacked No | 74c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…9426backed Yes | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?this page
- Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Gold" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Prediction" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Summit" during earnings call?Yes won
- Will Robinhood say "Token" during earnings call?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.