TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0f7…274d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$28.58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+329.9%+$149.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.22
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$273.88
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+43.9%+$8.53
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.9
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.22
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$15.48
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$4.82
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$23.22
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.33
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.6%+$5.89
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.52
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25.5%+$3.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.63
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+57.2%+$9.1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.1%+$13.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.51
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32.9%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$2.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Mona Barthelbacked Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+154.3%+$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+134.4%+$17.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+121.9%+$29.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$3.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.