Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f512e96a61be88703ca12577fd4c8360396e05f335ca8d51ec5763b4eec4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 57c | 38,145$21,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,475.95 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 28,489$16,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,116.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 20,650$10,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,318.08 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 71c | 20,384$14,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,434.97 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 43c | 17,600$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578.68 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 43c | 13,493$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 12,880$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.78 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked No | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 53c | 10,876$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.25 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 43c | 8,800$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.94 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 8,630$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.02 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 8,233$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.21 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 8,164$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,637$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.04 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,174$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.08 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 59c | 4,591$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 44c | 4,552$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,420$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.01 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 3,423$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.26 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 28c | 3,208$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.12 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 2,982$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.09 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed No | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 56c | 2,589$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.34 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 2,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 42c | 2,450$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,406$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.11 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 42c | 2,375$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 44c | 2,173$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.12 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 2,151$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.5 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 3c | 2,060$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 56c | 1,835$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.44 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 56c | 1,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 69c | 1,743$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.3 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.99 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 58c | 1,464$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 1,455$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,444$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 52c | 1,419$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.81 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…7a3fbacked No | 43c | 1,292$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked No | 43c | 1,146$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 1,020$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.44 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed No | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 57c | 993.81$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 44c | 934$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed No | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 57c | 930$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 910.27$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.19 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 57c | 838.6$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 835.6$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.52 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 25c | 798.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.77 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 34c | 764.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 57c | 721$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 43c | 711$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.73 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 45c | 629.85$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.27 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 600$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 58c | 599.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 596.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 53c | 585.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 57c | 559.95$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked No | 48c | 525.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes | 58c | 518.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 3c | 503.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 43c | 468.7$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 44c | 462.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 44c | 420.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…7861backed Yes | 60c | 407.53$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…0a4dbacked No | 44c | 403.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 56c | 403.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.