TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65b6…8b4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.43
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$74.57
Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.38
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$350.31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$507.58
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200.51
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$123.43
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$552
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$366.67
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Spain (-5.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Arda Güler: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Ali Ahmed: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.14
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$12.49
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.22
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$283.64
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$606.23
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+292.1%+$750.69
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$93.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$660.73
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$132.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+285.1%+$296.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$714.4
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$263
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$214
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$197
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.