Fifa International · resolved market
Patrik Schick: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3154ce307d6a591b14c33a453ab0fc1dce5ea72110d58905a913de5704e7598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 62c | 1,810$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.65 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 63c | 1,740$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.91 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 60c | 874.39$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed No | 65c | 709.77$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 38c | 580.45$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 63c | 387.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 61c | 329.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 59c | 300.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…a750backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…aeb6backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…28bcbacked Yes | 41c | 245.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…bca6backed Yes | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 167$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…a270backed Yes | 53c | 154.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 116.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 111.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked No | 63c | 94.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…12e0backed Yes | 25c | 93.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 90.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…90b7backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 75.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…9e28backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 25c | 56.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 56.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…a346backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 61c | 53.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…81e1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 37c | 44.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…8162backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 32c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8677backed No | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 36c | 33.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 41c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Yes | 39c | 26.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 66c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8519backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed No | 62c | 17.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…1866backed No | 63c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adam Hložek: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adam Hložek: 3+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ shotsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jan Kuchta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Červ: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lyle Foster: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ shotsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 1+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 3+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ assistsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ shotsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsNo won
- Themba Zwane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Souček: 1+ goalsNo won
- Vladimír Darida: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vladimír Darida: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.