Fifa International · resolved market
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba1f73c135cdb3b49b6a486d595237e17a16c8d6dee3dcec82dd0bbe7f8aef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 59c | 988.46$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.96 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…894cbacked No | 39c | 763.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 44c | 631.81$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 59c | 303.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 54c | 72.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…7829backed No | 47c | 64.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 53c | 35.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ shotsthis page
- Adam Hložek: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adam Hložek: 3+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ shotsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jan Kuchta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Červ: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lyle Foster: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ shotsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 1+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 3+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ assistsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ shotsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsNo won
- Themba Zwane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Souček: 1+ goalsNo won
- Vladimír Darida: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vladimír Darida: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.