TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ac5…894c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.6
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Takefusa Kubo: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.07
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pavel Šulc: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$341.76
Lukáš Provod: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$463.46
Mojmír Chytil: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$315
Denis Višinský: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+428.7%+$587.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.2
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.42
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Starostové get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.3%+$202.46
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.08
ANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.