TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,881,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,922,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,881,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 822 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blues36c427,160$152,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274,506.4167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche65c400,000$260,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,790.3922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Avalanche0c331,504$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Blues37c221,919$81,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,63011644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues36c120,905$42,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,960.771,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche63c101,708$64,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,011.2440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Blues36c93,500$33,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,839.9916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues37c82,000$30,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,66048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Avalanche63c80,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,399.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blues34c70,291$24,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,188.0951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche62c61,505$38,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,133.1944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Avalanche64c58,623$37,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,40850%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche60c50,002$29,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,951.9527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blues38c40,840$15,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,259.0441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche64c37,059$23,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,722.320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blues37c33,280$12,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,972.1536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Avalanche64c26,051$16,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,581.0812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Avalanche64c25,559$16,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,3584348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche62c20,500$12,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7851,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche64c20,350$12,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,995.422,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Avalanche63c19,881$12,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,525.0312047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche63c18,559$11,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,692.1448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche63c15,898$10,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,015.7418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Avalanche62c15,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Avalanche64c14,321$9,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,165.674850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Avalanche61c13,968$8,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,561.6415949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Avalanche63c13,500$8,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5057737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e7…1227backed Avalanche66c12,596$8,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,313.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche63c12,117$7,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,659.0224945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche64c10,817$6,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,909.8161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…592cbacked Blues35c10,772$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche64c10,000$6,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,429.9743548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche64c9,500$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,104.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche64c9,000$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.9560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Avalanche64c8,700$5,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5689254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Avalanche66c8,557$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.535453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Avalanche64c8,400$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.969751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues36c8,186$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,273.531,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Avalanche62c8,100$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0226456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche63c8,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04026344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Avalanche63c7,560$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.83951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blues38c7,219$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.2433450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Avalanche58c7,195$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blues35c6,982$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,511.5876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Avalanche45c6,772$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blues38c6,751$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.5630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche65c6,374$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.5889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa624…eb73backed Avalanche65c6,151$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa412…eb52backed Avalanche65c6,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche65c5,900$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.9732251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Avalanche65c5,637$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.746758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Avalanche62c5,633$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.6138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Blues41c5,423$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.9612654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Avalanche63c5,380$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche58c5,225$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.6558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Blues37c5,000$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.688657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Avalanche62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1005959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Avalanche62c4,760$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.974949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche53c4,641$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.752,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6697…1b2ebacked Avalanche65c4,600$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Blues37c4,576$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.054259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Blues37c4,459$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.46757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Avalanche64c4,340$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.822352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Blues37c4,057$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Blues35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blues38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Avalanche63c3,922$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Avalanche56c3,739$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Avalanche67c3,574$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.564447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Avalanche64c3,368$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.522365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues38c3,310$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.551,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Avalanche61c3,295$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Blues37c3,097$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.1517353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche65c3,078$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9801,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Avalanche65c2,823$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8352343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Avalanche65c2,700$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7452250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Blues38c2,633$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.697244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Avalanche64c2,603$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.8845955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Blues41c2,456$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.1228447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blues35c2,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Avalanche65c2,336$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Avalanche63c2,320$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.2540340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Avalanche60c2,300$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.995666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche59c2,237$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.173,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Avalanche63c2,222$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.869562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche64c2,200$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d5…bd0cbacked Avalanche65c2,100$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Avalanche63c2,080$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Avalanche59c2,036$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.863650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…ec4cbacked Avalanche66c2,002$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c0…dff3backed Blues35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9c…c3b3backed Avalanche62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9726750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Avalanche66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.8120450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Blues30c1,918$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.8543742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche62c1,916$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Avalanche64c1,805$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.311243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche62c1,678$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.9733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.