TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Avalanche, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Blues59c69,377$40,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,689.5148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche41c41,050$16,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,830.6240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Avalanche42c20,152$8,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,463.9911058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d39…c732backed Avalanche41c3,251$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed Avalanche42c2,298$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Avalanche33c1,749$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1911933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche41c1,684$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.6276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blues58c1,515$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blues71c1,486$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.251,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues57c1,428$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Avalanche42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.619141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Avalanche41c853.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.799038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Blues59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9147256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche31c788.06$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.832,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Avalanche35c784.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3413343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Avalanche33c634.68$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.971,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Blues70c539.96$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.611949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche43c538.16$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.562,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Blues55c432.01$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.53754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues76c420.38$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.531,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche39c408.48$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.851,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche22c406.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6220…c431backed Avalanche42c399.87$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues64c362.5$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Avalanche42c330.78$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blues62c328.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.192,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Avalanche44c296.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.461752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche46c286.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5742254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Avalanche40c265.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.045945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Blues60c259.02$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6112146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues55c233.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.191,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Avalanche44c233.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9520046%92 W · 108 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Blues56c204$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7633941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Blues59c195.04$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…a3bdbacked Avalanche47c193.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Blues56c172.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7542948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche23c157.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blues64c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avalanche29c132.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche41c128.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Blues69c127.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3132353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Avalanche47c123.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0923148.9%113 W · 118 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Avalanche45c118.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Avalanche40c115$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Avalanche42c111.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.769757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Avalanche42c98.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.57149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blues53c90.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Avalanche41c89.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.947352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Avalanche44c87.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6754049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Blues56c86.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9920245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blues59c83.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche29c82.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5324946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Avalanche41c77.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7838849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Avalanche35c70.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7247024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Avalanche35c70.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2921463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Avalanche44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc741…73f6backed Avalanche41c64.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Avalanche45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0119548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Avalanche33c63.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9213552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Avalanche42c63.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7615651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Avalanche30c59.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8529553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Blues76c58.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8619254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb7…a4b4backed Blues59c55.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Blues58c50.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Avalanche36c48.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4951343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Blues70c44.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Avalanche42c43.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.122655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Blues58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.656550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Blues59c40.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.418160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues55c39.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Blues54c38.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8229533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Avalanche42c38.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.227346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Avalanche40c38.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4238551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dd…9757backed Blues74c37.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Blues60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Blues56c33.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6445651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked Blues62c33.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Avalanche45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515060%30 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche34c30.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Blues60c30.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee7…2417backed Blues58c29.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…2b1abacked Blues63c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Avalanche42c28.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1622255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Blues56c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blues57c24.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…592cbacked Avalanche44c23.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa890…915fbacked Blues80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…c86cbacked Blues57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bea…7020backed Blues59c17.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.