NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1659bba18f38d646c95a7912b7e116066c1a79c46e74ec9c661f219b78241e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 44c | 14,519$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.86 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 56c | 14,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 56c | 3,039$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.67 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 1,904$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.28 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 1,175$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 981.63$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 52c | 804.85$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.95 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 704.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 572.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.23 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 532$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…ce52backed Over | 57c | 526.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 56c | 508.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.64 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 56c | 334$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 327.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 289.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 75c | 280.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 56c | 254.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 43c | 239.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 53c | 188.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 55c | 173.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 43c | 161.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 149.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 57c | 122.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Under | 42c | 96.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 64.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 43c | 59.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Under | 68c | 56.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 57c | 56.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 23c | 51.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 45c | 48.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 43c | 46.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 45c | 45.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 74c | 45.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 44c | 39.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 36.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked Under | 55c | 35.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 40c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 42c | 26.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb3…0f2fbacked Over | 58c | 26.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 54c | 23.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. AvalancheBlues won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.