NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe84eaeb073b7322a7feb04d26ec6d94a6d285806040754ef1c6f91a349343b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,341$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…b7c0backed Over | 51c | 2,251$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 58c | 2,003$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.05 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 1,400$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.3 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 42c | 787$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 587.2$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 32c | 512$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 45c | 502.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 447.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 58c | 423.38$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 383.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 380.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 305.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 242.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 236.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…650dbacked Under | 48c | 209$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 203.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 191.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 44c | 181.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 53c | 171.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 166.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 42c | 142.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 126.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 123.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 64c | 114.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 97.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 41c | 76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 42c | 55.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 31c | 52.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Under | 51c | 33.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 55c | 32.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 53c | 31.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 63c | 26.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…0d0dbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…3f62backed Under | 68c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. AvalancheBlues won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.