TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0706…6ffe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.91
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$410
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$156.36
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,584.98
Will Michigan advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$125.55
Will Arizona advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.97
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.05
Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Will UConn advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$431.3
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101%+$194.91
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.56
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.33
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.78
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.67
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.43
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.06
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.25
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.74
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.98
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.9
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.74
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$380
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.97
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96.05
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$657.84
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Giants vs. Twinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Reds vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Brewers vs. Raysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-84.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$49
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$229.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$80.68
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+234.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$113.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.