NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2bbc1a44fe2a9b80de69c81c4b59ce2d7fc4ea077955149bcef5e639c097fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nuggets | 52c | 11,971$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.05 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 49c | 10,570$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 8,658$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,495$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.28 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…2a67backed Thunder | 47c | 7,277$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…129cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,981$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Thunder | 48c | 5,188$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…25b9backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 46c | 3,625$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…aac0backed Thunder | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…63cdbacked Thunder | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…39babacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,857$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.78 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,537$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.35 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 46c | 2,417$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 48c | 2,200$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.43 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,007$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Thunder | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.78 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,777$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.24 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 46c | 1,636$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Thunder | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…62cbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,426$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,359$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 51c | 1,348$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.06 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,235$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.46 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,176$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Nuggets | 56c | 969.23$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Thunder | 47c | 958.79$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.63 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets | 53c | 944.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Nuggets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 48c | 823.07$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 47c | 793.14$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Nuggets | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 25c | 666.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Nuggets | 50c | 665.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.75 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 42c | 647.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 48c | 636.16$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 48c | 624.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Nuggets | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Nuggets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Nuggets | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…111fbacked Thunder | 47c | 481.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Nuggets | 53c | 476.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 65c | 473.7$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 47c | 462.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 53c | 439.62$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thunder | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 415.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.17 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Nuggets | 58c | 364$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 52c | 353.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Thunder | 49c | 329.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 46c | 320.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 69c | 320$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…26cabacked Nuggets | 53c | 276.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Thunder | 48c | 275.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…4009backed Nuggets | 57c | 275.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Thunder | 47c | 253.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 54c | 238.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Nuggets | 56c | 213.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…33f4backed Thunder | 41c | 212.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…aeeabacked Nuggets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Nuggets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Thunder | 32c | 196.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nuggets | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Thunder | 33c | 183.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Nuggets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 47c | 171.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Nuggets | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Thunder | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 159.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Nuggets | 53c | 150.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Thunder | 51c | 147.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Thunder | 52c | 145.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Nuggets | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Nuggets | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 48c | 138.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 47c | 135.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Thunder | 46c | 132.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Nuggets | 53c | 131.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Nuggets | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 60c | 128.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets | 68c | 119.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.