NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32bef2a678a145a8681a9ec8b6e8d8cbe7030982243cb40192dedfc4e1f0725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 54c | 1,282$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.2 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 1,222$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 54c | 1,102$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 944.14$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 59c | 891.45$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.84 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 54c | 752.75$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.68 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 11c | 699.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 10c | 650$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Over | 49c | 529.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…63dbbacked Over | 51c | 442.29$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…3b20backed Over | 57c | 406.44$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 386.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 380.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 67c | 348.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Under | 50c | 348.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 77c | 308.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 45c | 281.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 279.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 272.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 268.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Over | 46c | 217.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 188.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 51c | 159.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 141.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Over | 60c | 116.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 25c | 109.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 14c | 105.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Over | 12c | 104.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 102.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 52c | 101.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 14c | 100.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Over | 54c | 92.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Over | 62c | 81.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 40c | 79.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 36c | 72.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 70.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 47c | 69.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 80c | 69.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over | 58c | 69.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 51c | 68.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 49c | 65.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 48.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 49c | 47.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…706ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 43c | 38.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…3df5backed Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 48c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 40c | 29.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 54c | 29.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 42c | 28.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 50c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…2862backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.