NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab3137d8468b6b170ae95644c2bf5381c3c7bc6b778ab61b813817dc73f46f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd246…95d8backed Over | 53c | 1,501$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…0ceebacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 57c | 870.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fa25backed Under | 47c | 799$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 771.33$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 717$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 578.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 56c | 534.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…c920backed Over | 50c | 514$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…e538backed Over | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…9d5ebacked Under | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…0399backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…3814backed Under | 50c | 498$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd05…90f8backed Under | 50c | 494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9a…0491backed Under | 50c | 492$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…b680backed Over | 50c | 492$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…20c8backed Under | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…f912backed Over | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…de9dbacked Under | 50c | 486$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…e7fdbacked Under | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…7750backed Over | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…b589backed Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…81e0backed Over | 50c | 476$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…bab0backed Over | 50c | 474$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…2c48backed Over | 50c | 472$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9742…4ff1backed Over | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…f715backed Under | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…e2a0backed Over | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…fa19backed Under | 50c | 464$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…58c2backed Under | 50c | 464$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…ecf7backed Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…1911backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…37e0backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…c49fbacked Over | 50c | 448$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…a635backed Under | 50c | 448$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…4768backed Over | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…0767backed Over | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…55d6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…a6bcbacked Over | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d5…7dc0backed Under | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…f8fabacked Under | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a934backed Under | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…37b3backed Under | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4203…074fbacked Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…1114backed Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…460dbacked Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…190cbacked Over | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…03e7backed Under | 50c | 426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…b4fabacked Under | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…865cbacked Over | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…14e4backed Over | 50c | 422$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…f2bebacked Under | 50c | 422$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf09…88b3backed Over | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…2a74backed Over | 50c | 414$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0f…958cbacked Under | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2b…57d2backed Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…80c1backed Under | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…eaf1backed Under | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…88d4backed Under | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…aab3backed Over | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…554cbacked Over | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…b4c6backed Over | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…379cbacked Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…2091backed Under | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…cfddbacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…b6e5backed Under | 50c | 386$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…7970backed Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…2ef7backed Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…16cdbacked Under | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…f39abacked Over | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…c87fbacked Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…f1debacked Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…eb12backed Over | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b88…ed29backed Under | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd8…5484backed Over | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dab…ec7abacked Under | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…6d9fbacked Under | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…be2ebacked Over | 50c | 368$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…07c3backed Over | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…7dcfbacked Under | 50c | 362$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…092cbacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…18d8backed Under | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…1eb9backed Under | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…9541backed Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…c07ebacked Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…1cc2backed Under | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…7ff7backed Under | 50c | 346$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…3fe2backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…ede2backed Over | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Over | 56c | 337.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…294ebacked Under | 50c | 336$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6124…9899backed Over | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…27a0backed Under | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3e7bbacked Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…163fbacked Under | 50c | 328$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd8…02a9backed Under | 50c | 326$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…99d8backed Over | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…8768backed Under | 50c | 325$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.