NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ee4ef0f8b7d57e033ab835db5467302fe8b44cf80895b5f968a43f4f4f6c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Thunder | 48c | 156,203$74,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,977.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 51c | 131,069$67,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,946.93 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 53c | 40,744$21,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,149.93 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 53c | 40,109$21,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,205.1 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 47c | 28,500$13,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,395 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Nuggets | 51c | 26,805$13,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,065.13 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 50c | 22,966$11,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,474.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Thunder | 48c | 15,520$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 15,487$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.76 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 15,054$7,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,478.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 12,135$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Nuggets | 50c | 8,922$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…8f96backed Nuggets | 47c | 8,827$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,248$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.84 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,177$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 53c | 5,100$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.99 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,860$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Thunder | 49c | 4,193$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,149$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.83 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,031$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.57 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 53c | 3,985$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,967$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.25 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 52c | 3,786$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.75 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,241$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.06 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 53c | 3,200$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.41 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,623$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.88 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,537$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.32 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,502$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,765$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.87 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,461$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,384$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,379$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.08 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,075$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…62cbbacked Thunder | 52c | 993.85$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 47c | 962.66$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 52c | 900.01$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Nuggets | 50c | 807.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 46c | 799.97$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 731$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 50c | 696.15$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Nuggets | 48c | 669.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 48c | 604.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nuggets | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 575.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 55c | 452.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 50c | 419.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Nuggets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 47c | 400.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Thunder | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Nuggets | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…911fbacked Thunder | 54c | 384.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 47c | 381$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Nuggets | 53c | 376.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Nuggets | 46c | 363.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 331.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 48c | 310.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 47c | 306.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Nuggets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 52c | 298.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Thunder | 47c | 293.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…7508backed Thunder | 53c | 281.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Thunder | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Nuggets | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 263.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Nuggets | 47c | 244.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder | 6c | 231.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Thunder | 52c | 156.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nuggets | 51c | 152.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Thunder | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Thunder | 32c | 147.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Thunder | 55c | 137.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Thunder | 26c | 133.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 55c | 127.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Thunder | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Nuggets | 52c | 105.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Nuggets | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.