TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf73e…43f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT16052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.58
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81.3
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.53
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$10.09
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+167.2%+$684.55
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$183.53
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.46
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$97.51
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+102.6%+$189.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$160.74
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+98.6%+$203.85
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.3%+$22.96
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.76
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$167.63
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+52.7%+$214.23
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32.78
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.07
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+73.7%+$51.78
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.15
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100.6%+$368.43
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.3%+$7.64
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.2%+$5.77
Les Sables d'Olonne: Yidi Yang vs Kristina Mladenovicbacked Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+46.2%+$29.53
Oeiras 2: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Tigre: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.7%+$11.13
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.63
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+46.6%+$52.91
Les Sables d'Olonne: Oceane Dodin vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.45
Lille: Arthur Bouquier vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Bouquier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+50.6%+$5.36
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26%+$7.18
Rio Open: Gustavo Heide vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.2%+$3.97
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+55.1%+$5.87
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+142.4%+$43.19
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.27
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+115.8%+$12.9
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mbokobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Tenerife 2: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luka Mikrutbacked Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.6
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.15
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.9%+$24.11
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.1%+$29.23
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$317.7
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+45.7%+$45.68
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.27
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$79.51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.96
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+43%+$45.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$320.17
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$72.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$117.77
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.1%+$33.75
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.1%+$29.56
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30%+$5.59
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.59
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+139.3%+$52.28
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+65%+$10.69
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.03
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.39
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+130.9%+$706.7
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$209.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$129.53
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.73
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25.3%+$2.79
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.32
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.39
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.08
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+34.9%+$5.47
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.62
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.41
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$45.47
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.2%+$14.76
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$147.5
Liberty Flames vs. UTEP Minersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Spread: Colgate Raiders (-1.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$51.25
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$29.33
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.76
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.96
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.98
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.21
Spread: USC Trojans (-3.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Will Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.39
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.96
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$375
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.21
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+101.7%+$26.98
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Will PSV win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.63
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27.98
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+91.3%+$18.54
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.5%+$61.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. Noah FA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.