Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf65a9ea5ac747abd1b9c431a977f47aa59de4fea562e0c01d639b00e190f525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Over | 51c | 6,661$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 5,324$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 2,625$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 55c | 1,131$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.85 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 24c | 759.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 694.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 608.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 36c | 530.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 48c | 490$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 8c | 467.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 307.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 43c | 233.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 61c | 232$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 80c | 230$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 63c | 191.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 18c | 177.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 57c | 174.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 164.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 155.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 65c | 130.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 37c | 127.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 115.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 49c | 77.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 66c | 75.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 63c | 57.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 55.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 68c | 37.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Under | 33c | 36.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 63c | 35.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 32.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Under | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Over | 56c | 24.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 49c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…8973backed Over | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.