Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fea6f889b80ec6c768572a51acaf3a8d77ac7c8f4d0147d6e44a4e34a4ba0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 17,088$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,264.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 10,931$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 47c | 8,000$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 26c | 6,271$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 49c | 3,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 2,861$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 2,588$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 26c | 2,516$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 63c | 2,409$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 57c | 1,768$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 1c | 1,544$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.23 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 73c | 1,044$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.77 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 1,015$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.06 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b9a6backed Over | 2c | 859.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 671.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 493.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.88 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 46c | 435.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 69c | 433.02$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 61c | 411.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 392.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 32c | 388.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…77f4backed Over | 60c | 377.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 68c | 323.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 14c | 312.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.05 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 15c | 240.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 204.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 186.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 77c | 183.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 152.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 28c | 125.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 106.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 62c | 101.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 15c | 99.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Over | 57c | 99.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 48c | 91.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 76c | 85.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 53c | 83.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 80.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 39c | 79.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 35c | 74.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 34c | 61.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 57c | 61.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Under | 47c | 45.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Under | 55c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 56c | 44.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 40.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 30c | 40.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…aef4backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 33.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Over | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 53c | 18.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.