TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ab4…a81b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.75
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$92.95
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$7.06
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$50.02
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$26.38
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$66.71
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$191.24
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.07
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.37
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.84
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$781.77
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.72
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$22.84
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.75
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.71
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.02
Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$7.78
Spread: Thunder (-31.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.67
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.5
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,411.97
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100.1%+$168.58
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.09
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$17.5
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+87.7%+$50.03
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$259.6
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+93.8%+$308.73
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+36.7%+$14
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$123.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$60.15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,647.78
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$57.5
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$209.32
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$6.06
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$516.77
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$246.76
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+90.4%+$19.97
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+54.6%+$92.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will Crystal Palace vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+108.9%+$11.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$745.09
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$9.53
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.68
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$8.85
Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$295.07
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$363.34
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+281%+$1,855.7
Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.9%+$671.04
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$42.25
Telstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35%+$21.17
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.51
Will CA Unión vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$12.46
CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$483.4
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$47.45
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$77.7
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$22.33
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+400%+$55.8
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$192.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+895.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$6.83
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$53.64
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.1
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.08
SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Granada CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$548.21
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$335
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.33
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+9,900%+$2,529.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$44.3
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.13
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+142.4%+$341.29
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$75
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$54
Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+94.2%+$52.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+109.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+125.2%+$33.36
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$128
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$23.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$49.59
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$239.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$19.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.