TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64ce…944bbacked Over51c31,621$16,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,210.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c17,165$8,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,097.574551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8761…76a8backed Over3c10,240$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c9,287$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,914.321,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over24c6,049$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over64c4,212$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.7652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c3,780$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.343,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over4c3,719$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.765547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over69c2,850$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over30c2,000$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.512927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c1,672$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.891,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under80c1,646$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under16c1,600$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under17c1,583$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.791,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Under17c1,250$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+90.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under16c1,200$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c1,104$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c1,088$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.7368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under17c1,081$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8820043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under24c1,033$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+63.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8509957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over2c911.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c736.44$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under16c700$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c695.32$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2724046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under15c667$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.9513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c600.59$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.791,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under18c592$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under15c585.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over13c570$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under19c540.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.341315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over61c510$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.06850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over52c502.79$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c498.57$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2446156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under47c409.13$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.849437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under16c400$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under16c400$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under47c351.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.485664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over78c340.82$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.951060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c313.15$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over15c300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c296.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under16c260$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under16c260$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under25c250.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.576841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over19c219.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.634650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under47c209.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over65c206.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under48c196.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4323350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under47c196.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under76c179.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over58c177$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.281323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc10…e9b4backed Over40c175.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under16c160$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under16c156$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under16c156$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under47c140.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.438144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under16c140$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Over8c131.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over77c130.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6536051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.666651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over15c122.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8223953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over80c108.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8415259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under21c99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under16c97.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6835149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…3724backed Under47c83.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over29c82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under16c80$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…83d3backed Under19c78.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.76520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over42c72.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.352352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under62c70.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.863743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under47c70.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2112551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5d…c0e2backed Over53c65.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Over19c52.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.