TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c11,266$6,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,914.5473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c3,302$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.1371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c3,298$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.8326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over68c2,862$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.1813518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under47c2,207$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under40c2,014$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.4718651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c1,761$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c1,570$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.051,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Over53c1,511$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c1,497$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.6970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,357$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.653,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over23c1,100$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c1,020$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.2197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c872.26$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c857.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.971,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c814.24$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.74228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c641.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under41c591.96$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under60c581$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.44551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over35c565.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under50c509$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over58c506.43$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c493.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c464.55$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under33c360.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.641,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under47c346.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.812171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under38c337.65$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under37c329$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.596841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over56c277.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over58c240$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over59c232$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Over53c227$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9608…8cf3backed Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb53…b2a8backed Under39c188.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd805…d22dbacked Over62c184.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Over61c164.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c158.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over39c152.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.611244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Under40c148$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under80c135.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over53c134.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.273253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c132.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under64c130.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.419052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c123.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4924046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Under49c115.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under53c114.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.573743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3994…1fadbacked Under54c112.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over54c107.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Over58c101.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.951,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over23c94.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over62c81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under43c76.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7412551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over51c73.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over58c70.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9110655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…db19backed Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over20c59.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…1323backed Under40c58.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…2567backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over61c49.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over58c47.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c46.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked Under43c45.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under44c35.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under52c34.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under39c34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Under39c33.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ad…2dccbacked Over50c31.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.320449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be5…9d53backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa1…0193backed Over61c25.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Under65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b4…2329backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ea…1d36backed Over61c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752080%16 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.