TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0c4…fe0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$77.32
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$427
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.74
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$481.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+91.1%+$143
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$158.63
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$595
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$770
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+74.3%+$511.58
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$564
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$682
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$659.7
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$396
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$460
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+97%+$98.5
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.73
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.87
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$115.5
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$600
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$259.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.