Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475bed63d511baca5af64162b4a8b53e7b6bb5b4a60a3eb41a33c1740584fb46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 48c | 24,606$11,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,933.72 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 53c | 22,642$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 16,984$7,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 4,598$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 3,743$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 51c | 3,169$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.81 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 2,959$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.46 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 2,847$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 47c | 2,472$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.02 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 54c | 1,921$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 46c | 1,693$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.78 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 53c | 1,471$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 49c | 1,056$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 52c | 824.64$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 46c | 740$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 683.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 51c | 677.66$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.33 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 486.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 53c | 439.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 44c | 428.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 53c | 333.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 54c | 302.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 271.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 246.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Over | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 48c | 115.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Under | 48c | 112.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Under | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 53c | 91.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 49c | 72.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…b35cbacked Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 49c | 54.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Under | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Under | 48c | 49.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 49c | 44.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Under | 49c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…bffcbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…b410backed Over | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5this page
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)Aston Villa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.